Article #2 Forecasting the S&P500 emini 60min chart

In this article I am going to discuss forecasting the 60 minute chart for the S&P500 emini. On the charts below, I am using the DTN IQFeed symbol @ES#, which is the continuous nearby contract for the S&P500 emini.

The chart below shows the 60 minute data for the S&P500 emini. The last bar on the chart is for the time 7:00AM ET and the date is June 3, 2015. At this time I clicked the button in the MarketWarrior 5 program to update the forecast. The resulting forecast is shown below. I recommend recalculating the 60 minute forecast only once a day. In most cases I will recalculate the 60 minute chart forecast before the main trading session opens at 9:30AM ET. In this case I recalculated during the 7:00AM hour at approximately 7:45AM.

On the chart below, the red arrows with a T inside identify the forecasts for top change-in-trend. The triangles with a B inside identify, forecast bottom change-in-trend. Because I recalculate the 60 minute chart forecast once a day I usually only use the forecast change-in-trend forecast for the upcoming day. On the chart below, there is one forecast change-in-trend during June 3, 2015. This is a forecast for a top at 10:00AM ET at the price 2118.48. To clearly shows this, I have placed the cursor on this time so you can see the cursor pop-up box. This is circled in red on the chart below. I have also added (1) next to the forecast. Now we will see how this forecast worked out.


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The picture below shows the same forecast for the 60 minute chart of the S&P500 emini. You can see that on the chart below on June 3, the forecast was for a top in the 10AM ET hour near the price 2118.48. The chart below shows the S&P500 emini made the high for the day in the 10AM hour. This was the only forecast change-in-trend for June 3 and the forecast worked out very well.


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